US-China Trade Deal Imminent: Global Markets & Supply Chains Poised for Breakthrough

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By Michael Zhang

A significant breakthrough appears imminent in the protracted trade negotiations between the United States and China, potentially signaling a much-needed stabilization for global markets and supply chains. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has confirmed substantial progress towards an agreement, a development closely watched by international financial institutions and businesses worldwide.

  • Substantial progress reported in US-China trade negotiations.
  • “Elements of a deal” identified following intensive talks in Stockholm.
  • Final approval for the agreement awaits President Donald Trump’s personal decision.
  • Tariffs significantly reduced: U.S. from 145% to 30%, China from 125% to 10%.
  • Lingering concerns include China’s Iranian oil imports and technology supply to Russia, with a truce deadline of August 12.

Secretary Bessent indicated that the two economic powerhouses have successfully identified “the elements of a deal” following intensive, two-day discussions held in Stockholm. While expressing confidence in the eventual outcome, Bessent acknowledged that certain technical details on the Chinese side still require resolution before a comprehensive agreement can be finalized.

The Presidential Mandate

Crucially, the ultimate approval of any accord rests squarely on the personal decision of President Donald Trump. Bessent indicated that the proposed agreement has not yet been presented to the President, underscoring the high-level political dimension of these negotiations and placing the final word directly with the Oval Office. The President’s direct involvement is expected to reinforce the strategic weight of the agreement and provide a definitive political imprimatur.

The current state of negotiations reflects a notable de-escalation from previous periods of intense bilateral trade conflict. Initially, the United States had imposed steep tariffs of 145% on Chinese imports, which were swiftly met by China’s retaliatory duties of 125%. These duties have since been significantly moderated in a concerted effort to foster dialogue and prevent a further cycle of retaliatory measures. Current U.S. tariffs now stand at 30%, with Chinese tariffs reduced to 10%.

Lingering Hurdles and the August 12 Deadline

Despite the positive momentum, specific U.S. concerns persist. Officials have repeatedly voiced apprehension regarding China’s purchases of Iranian oil and its ongoing supply of technology to Russia. These issues remain potential impediments that could delay or even derail the final pact. A critical deadline looms large: the current trade truce is set to expire on August 12. Failure to reach a mutual understanding by this pivotal date could lead to a reinstatement of higher tariffs, posing severe consequences for global trade flows and market stability.

As Secretary Bessent noted, both negotiating parties have maintained firm stances throughout this complex process. The global financial community is keenly observing every development, understanding that any breakthrough or setback in these high-stakes negotiations could directly impact commercial flows, international supply chains, and broader economic growth prospects.

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