S&P 500, Nasdaq hit records on inflation hopes & Oracle AI

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By Emily Carter

Wall Street witnessed a significant uptrend this week, propelled by a confluence of economic indicators pointing to easing inflationary pressures and robust corporate innovation in artificial intelligence. This dual momentum has fueled investor optimism, reinforcing expectations for potential interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve and marking new historic highs for key indices.

Major U.S. stock indices reflected this positive sentiment. The S&P 500 surged, poised to close at a fresh record for the second consecutive day, while the Nasdaq also achieved new highs. Although the Dow Jones experienced a modest retreat, the broader market narrative centers on the pursuit of a “soft landing”—an economic environment where inflation is tamed sufficiently to justify rate cuts without triggering a downturn. This delicate balance is critical for sustaining current market valuations.

A pivotal piece of this economic puzzle arrived with Wednesday’s wholesale inflation report, which indicated an unexpected cooling in August. This moderation offered relief following several months of data that challenged the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target, particularly amid additional pressures such as tariffs implemented by President Donald Trump. Such positive signals are essential to confirm the market’s entrenched belief that the Fed is on track for its first rate cut of the year at its upcoming meeting. As Chris Larkin, Managing Director of Trading and Investment at E-Trade (Morgan Stanley), noted, this report “basically opened the red carpet for the Fed for a rate cut next week.” The consensus view, as stated by Ahmad Assiri, a research strategist at Pepperstone, is “increasingly anchored in the expectation that the Fed will cut rates at its next meeting.” While the market already largely anticipated this move, these inflation figures were crucial for validation, balancing the potential economic stimulus of lower rates against the risk of reigniting price pressures. Investors now eagerly await Thursday’s consumer inflation data for further insights into household spending impacts.

Complementing these macroeconomic tailwinds, the technology sector received a substantial boost from Oracle (ORCL), whose shares soared following an ambitious growth forecast tied to artificial intelligence. Despite quarterly results slightly below expectations, CEO Safra Catz revealed that Oracle secured four multi-billion dollar contracts in the last quarter. The company projects its cloud infrastructure revenue to surge by 77% to $18 billion this fiscal year, with a long-term estimate of reaching $144 billion within four years. Larry Ellison, Oracle’s Chairman, succinctly captured the company’s strategic pivot, stating, “AI changes everything.” This vision underscores the profound impact of AI on corporate strategy and market valuation.

The AI boom reverberated across the broader technology landscape. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM), a key producer of AI chips, saw its U.S.-listed shares climb 3.1% after reporting a 34% year-over-year revenue growth in August. Nvidia (NVDA), a leading indicator for AI sector performance, also gained 3.7%, significantly contributing to the S&P 500’s rise alongside Oracle. In contrast, Synopsys (SNPS) experienced a sharp decline of 31.3% after delivering a disappointing earnings outlook for the current and subsequent quarters. Beyond established tech giants, the Swedish fintech Klarna commenced public trading, pricing its initial public offering at $40 per share. Globally, European indices traded mixed, while most Asian markets saw gains, with South Korea’s Kospi rising 1.7% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng up 1%. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note eased from 4.08% to 4.05%, reflecting reinforced investor confidence in impending Federal Reserve rate adjustments following the positive inflation report.

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